An editorial encyclopedia of casino table games · Vol. III · MMXXVI
Front Page / First Principles / House math

How rule variants move the house edge — a lever-by-lever accounting for blackjack, roulette and baccarat

Rule variants · house-edge levers · a working ledger
Casino chips stacked — each table rule variant shifts the house edge by a measurable amount
Image: Pixabay Content License.

6:5 naturals, the single zero, dealer hitting soft 17, La Partage — each rule is a measurable shift in the edge. Here is the ledger.

I. Why the edge is a stack, not a number

Each rule in a table game changes the expected value of a bet by a small, computable amount. To a good approximation these adjustments are additive: start from the base game's edge, then add or subtract the effect of each rule the table actually uses. This is why the phrase "the house edge in blackjack" is meaningless without a rule sheet — the real edge is the sum of the levers in play at that specific table. The figures below are the standard published adjustments; where a lever's exact value depends on other rules present, that is noted.

II. Blackjack — the levers, largest first

Change relative to a six-deck, S17, DAS, 3:2, surrender base game (≈ 0.4% edge)
Rule changeEffect on house edgeDirection
Naturals pay 6:5 instead of 3:2≈ +1.4 ppMuch worse for player
Single deck instead of six (same other rules)≈ −0.5 ppBetter — if the payout stays 3:2
Dealer hits soft 17 (H17)≈ +0.2 ppWorse
No double after split (no-DAS)≈ +0.14 ppWorse
European no-hole-card rule≈ +0.11 ppWorse
No surrender offered≈ +0.08 ppWorse
Re-split aces allowed≈ −0.07 ppBetter

The lesson buried in that table: a single-deck game is not automatically the better bet. Today's single-deck tables almost universally pay 6:5, so the −0.5 point saving from the deck count is swamped by the +1.4 points from the payout. A 3:2 six-deck game beats a 6:5 single-deck game handily. Check the payout on the felt before the deck count.

III. Roulette — the zeros are everything

Wheel / ruleHouse edgeNote
European (single zero)≈ 2.70%= 1/37 on every bet type
American (double zero)≈ 5.26%= 2/38 — the second zero nearly doubles it
French, La Partage (even-money bets)≈ 1.35%Half the stake returned on zero
French, En Prison (even-money bets)≈ 1.35%Stake "imprisoned" for one spin instead
American five-number bet (0-00-1-2-3)≈ 7.89%The one bet with a worse edge than the wheel

Roulette has essentially one lever: how many green pockets the wheel carries, and whether a partial-refund rule softens the even-money bets. Everything else about the layout is cosmetic — the payout structure is deliberately arranged so that straight-ups, splits, columns and dozens all carry the identical base edge. The full derivations of 2.70% and 5.26% are in what the house edge actually is.

IV. Baccarat — commission and payout

Rule / betHouse edgeNote
Banker, 5% commission≈ 1.06%The standard, and the cheapest
Player≈ 1.24%No commission, wins less often
"Commission-free" Banker (Super 6 / half-win on 6)≈ 1.46%Usually worse — read the small print
Tie at 8:1≈ 14.4%Avoid
Tie at 9:1≈ 4.8%Still poor

Beware the marketing lever: "commission-free baccarat" removes the 5% charge but typically pays a Banker win of 6 only half (1:2) when it totals six, which raises the edge above the standard commissioned game. The label sounds player-friendly; the arithmetic is not. The commission derivation is in the baccarat probability study.

V. A worked stack

Take a low-limit Strip blackjack table advertising a friendly minimum. Read the felt and it turns out to run 6:5 naturals, dealer hits soft 17, and no surrender:

Stacking the levers

0.4% (base) + 1.4 (6:5) + 0.2 (H17) + 0.08 (no surrender) ≈ 2.1% house edge

Roughly five times the cost of the 0.4% game two pits over — with no change to the posted minimum bet. The price is in the rules, not the placard.
What to carry away
  • House edge is a base figure plus a stack of near-additive rule adjustments.
  • Blackjack's biggest lever by far is the 6:5 vs 3:2 naturals payout (≈ 1.4 pp).
  • A 3:2 six-deck game beats a 6:5 single-deck game — payout outweighs deck count.
  • Roulette's only real lever is the number of zeros (and La Partage on even-money bets).
  • "Commission-free" baccarat is usually worse than the standard 5% Banker bet.

VI. FAQ

Which single rule change costs the player the most?
In blackjack, the naturals payout. Moving from 3:2 to 6:5 adds roughly 1.4 percentage points to the house edge — more than every other common blackjack rule change combined. In roulette, the equivalent lever is the number of zeros: a second zero nearly doubles the edge from 2.70% to 5.26%.
Why does a 6:5 payout matter so much if I rarely get a blackjack?
A natural occurs on roughly one opening hand in twenty-one — often enough that the reduced payout compounds across every session. On a $10 bet, 3:2 pays $15 and 6:5 pays $12; that $3 shortfall, spread across all hands played, is equivalent to raising the house edge by about 1.4 points. The rarity of the natural is exactly why the change is easy to overlook and costly to ignore.
Is dealer hitting soft 17 (H17) really worse for me?
Yes, by about 0.2 percentage points. When the dealer hits soft 17 rather than standing, the dealer occasionally improves a 17 into a stronger total, converting some pushes and player wins into dealer wins. It is a small lever, but it stacks with the others.
Does La Partage make roulette a good bet?
It makes it a less bad bet. La Partage returns half your even-money stake when the ball lands on zero, which halves the effective edge on those bets from 2.70% to about 1.35%. That is competitive with baccarat, but it applies only to even-money bets and only where the rule is offered — most commonly on single-zero French tables.
Can rule variants ever swing a bet in the player's favour?
For the base game, no — the levers only move the edge between roughly favourable and clearly unfavourable, never below zero. The one exception in standard casino play is blackjack card counting, which is not a rule variant but a method of exploiting the shifting deck composition; it lies outside basic strategy and outside the scope of these tables.

Responsible play: This is a mathematical reference, not gambling advice. No rule variant makes a base table bet profitable for the player; the levers only move the edge between favourable and unfavourable. You must be 21 or older to gamble where it is legal. If gambling stops being entertainment, call the National Problem Gambling Helpline: 1-800-522-4700 (free, confidential, 24/7).